Digital Economy

The Next Billion Users and the Future of the Digital Economy

In an interview with Kai-fu Lee, the former executive at Apple and Microsoft, ex-president of Google China and prominent venture capitalist and AI expert is asked to give advice to startups in Europe hoping to forge a path alongside global tech giants from the US and China. He suggests that, “if you want to experiment, find some truly underdeveloped country where there is nothing [my emphasis] and try your idea there.”

The Global South have long been framed in colonial terms and clearly continues to be so. The empty or vacant land theory was propagated by the European colonizers to justify the seizure and systemic exploitation of sovereign countries and their people. Some tech evangelists and media outlets continue to evoke this rhetoric to emphasize the so called major disruption of technological innovation. Sugata Mitra, the Ed Tech guru and winner of the TED prize has for the last decade emphasized local communities in developing countries as a void so remote and so devastating that any intervention is a godsend. For instance, when Mitra’s team was criticized because their tech experiments did not produce deep learning, they responded defensively by stating that, “we are describing a part of our planet where children with nothing [my emphasis] other than a street-side computer, are able to answer tests on their own. They have no teachers or educational support from their parents or anyone else in the community…”

In May 2019, The Economist released their weekly issue featuring on their cover “The new scramble for Africa” with a byline that read, “…this time, the winners could be Africans themselves.” The language of “scrambling” for land in terms of winners and losers perpetuates a people-less territory ripe for carving, masking the actual bloodied history. The popular usage of the metaphor of data as the “new oil” or data “mining” is inadvertently shaping our discourses on the data economy in terms that are dangerously reminiscent of the colonial past – where the focus is on the data and not on the people who create and consume that data.

Another colonial theory is the infantilism of the natives that require paternalistic enabling for them to progress. In my 2016 UNESCO commissioned research on contemporary digital innovation for emerging economies, several tech start-ups designing applications for social good positioned their innovations as completely autonomous and all-inclusive, and moreover, as legitimate alternatives to “failed” institutions like schools and other vital social agencies. Apparently, the Global South awaits for these tech messiahs to rescue them while amidst their institutional corpses.

The media and the tech industry at large are waking up to the fact that the next billion users are emerging from the Global South and can significantly change the future landscape of the digital economy. The game of commodifying people and vacating of territory begins all over again. All the more reason why we need to move ahead with much caution before we become complicit in feeding certain myths: fictions such as how these users are overtly utility-driven and instrumental in their usage (a major expectation driving funding agencies), that they don’t care about their privacy, that they are far more self-driven and self-organized than “us” in the West and hence can do without conventional institutions, and that they are intrinsically communal, continue to circulate and shape the imagination of many tech corporations, aid agencies, and state actors.

I have argued in my new book The Next Billion Users that if innovation continues to be framed along these lines, then what the global poor need is less innovation. If innovation is a proxy for pilot projects that uses these communities as blank slates, they are better off without them. They should not be guinea pigs for new technology. The simple fact that a given technology is novel should not in itself be a reason to use it to experiment on these people. No new technology can be a stand-alone solution. Without motivated communities, no technology will succeed. The global poor have long been used as test subjects for socio-technical experiments. They are approached in the same way as patients for an experimental clinical trial who have run out of all conventional options—as people who have nothing to lose.

It is more likely that they had few genuine choices to start with. The failure to provide real options to the poor can occur in spite of major commitments by a nation to reduce the social inequalities. Fixing institutions is not an easy or a quick task. Scarce resources, political turmoil, and discriminatory cultural practices are just some of the many obstacles. Sometimes poor nations, driven by national pride, choose shortcuts out of an urgency to “catch up”— hoping that technological innovations will magically erase long- standing inequalities.

Why are failed institutional reforms so unforgivable, while failed technologies are viewed as acceptable trajectories for innovation? This mindset can be tremendously debilitating for communities who need to persist and leverage on new technologies in ways that are often more incremental than astronomical, more marginal than central to social reform. Far from nothingness, we have a complex and rich history of social resilience that should form the basis for envisioning the future of the digital economy with the rise of the next billion users

Digital Economy, Digital Enterprise

Surviving in the Digital Era – Business Models of Digital Enterprises in a Developing Economy

A new paper on Digital Business Models of Digital Enterprises in a Developing Economy has been published by the DIODE Ghana Team.

This study aims to explore the business models and strategies of digital enterprises in a developing economy context to understand the nature of their operations, as well as their survival tactics. A review of literature on digital enterprise models led to the adaptation of a 16 business model archetype for analyzing digital enterprises in Ghana. Using a critical realism perspective, survey data from a sample of 91 digital enterprises were used for the study.

The findings suggest that among human, physical and intangible assets, financial assets were the least used assets in the operations of the digital enterprises. This stems from the fact that the online financial business sector is still in its nascent stages in most developing economies. The findings further suggest that all digital enterprises leverage accessible and low-cost social networking services as part of their operations and use them as an avenue to engage with their target customers. The findings from this study provide guidelines to entrepreneurs who wish to venture into the digital ecosystem of Ghana, particularly with regard to the economic, financial and technological factors that enable digital enterprises to survive in the competitive digital economy.

 

The findings also suggest that it is important for governments to realize that there is an increasing rise in digital enterprises in the developing economies and these enterprises are creating jobs and providing business solutions locally that would hitherto be sought from developed economies. There is therefore the need for the requisite legal infrastructure and financial support that will cushion these enterprises from the fierce competitions that stagnate their growth.

The study provides a mapping of the digital business models of Ghanaian digital enterprises. This knowledge is arguably the first of its kind in the context of a developing economy. Hence, it serves as a stepping-stone for future studies to explore other areas in the digital economy, especially from a developing economy perspective.

Access Publication:

Eric AnsongRichard Boateng, (2019) “Surviving in the digital era – business models of digital enterprises in a developing economy”, Digital Policy, Regulation and Governancehttps://doi.org/10.1108/DPRG-08-2018-0046

Digital Enterprise

From Silicon Valley to Silicon Savannah? Tech Hubs in the Global South

by Yingqin Zheng & Andrea Jimenez Cisneros

For decades, as an ICT4D intervention, telecentres have been built across many regions in the global south, with the aim to bridge the digital divide and bring socio-economic benefits to local communities. The result is mixed to say the least. Many telecentres were not sustainable due to a number of reasons.

In recent years an upgraded and “sexier” version of telecentres, tech hubs, have been rapidly diffusing in the global south. In 2018, GSMA reported 442 tech hubs in Africa and 565 in Asia Pacific (Giuliani 2018).  They are spaces that not only provide co-working space and Internet connection, but also claim to foster collaboration, entrepreneurship and innovation. This is a model that seems to have stemmed from industrialised regions and diffused to developing countries, as part of the digital and mobile boom, and promise to produce ‘local innovations by local people’ (Afrilabs). GIZ’s 2013 report describes this movement as “from Silicon Valley to Silicon Savannah”, indicating the high expectation projected to Tech Hubs to boost innovation and economic growth.

Zheng Tech Hubs

Source: Giuliani (2018)

Many hubs are designed to mirror their Western counterparts. iHub in Kenya, one of the oldest and most prominent hubs in Africa got the inspiration from “successful co-working spaces across the world”, and “the team went to work transforming the sterile office block into an interactive hive. They threw bright green paint on the walls, installed a snappy Internet connection, and imported a slick Italian espresso machine” (Sanderson 2015, p.6).

Although there is plenty of research in organisational studies that argues materiality of physical space shapes human behaviour and organisational practices, our research which compares a Tech Hub in central London with one in Lusaka (Jimenez & Zheng 2016, 2017) shows that the physical design of the hub may not be directly related to how the space is used by the members and what value is generated from it. Members in the London hub, a global chain boasting extensive networks of entrepreneurs, greatly appreciate the aesthetics and design of the hub as a co-working space, but there is limited sense of a collaborative work.  As one member stated: “[f]or shared workspace I think it’s a great place, apart from the intention of trying to get people to collaborate which I don’t think it happens that much.” It was found that despite the open design of the space, strict rules are applied on how segments of the space are used thereby imposing a structured, disciplined order in the Hub.

In contrast, the Lusaka hub, while at the time not being able to afford to become a franchise of the London hub, is located in a standard office space with compartmentalised rooms and rigid walls. Yet there is a higher level of interaction and collaboration among members, improvisation and serendipity in their activities, and a stronger sense of community and identity. One member commented:

 “So you find people around here could really help you. If I ask him how do I go about with this because sometimes I am stuck, people come and help me.

Nevertheless, while the Lusaka hub had an innovative and learning culture and clearly was highly valued by local entrepreneurs, it struggled to show evidence of market-based innovation success.

In contrast, another study on Tech Hubs in central Manila shows that while it physically resembles the colourful, open design of coworking spaces in the West and provides high speed Internet that is not widely available in the Philippines, the membership fee to use these spaces were not affordable to local entrepreneurs (Tintiangko & Soriano 2018). They therefore become spaces for international expats and local elites, in effect excluding the grassroots entrepreneurs who could benefit from the hubs the most.

So far, we only have some broad ideas of the emerging landscape of Tech Hubs across the globe (Friederici 2018), and limited understanding beyond selective in-depth case studies (Sambuli & Whitt 2017, Haikin 2018, Littlewood & Kimbuyu 2018) of what actually happens in the Tech Hubs, the impact they may have on local community and how they evolve over time. We believe that behind the homogeneous branding of Tech Hubs all over the world as “spaces for innovation”, there are almost certainly heterogeneous modes of enactment of the spaces that give rise to multiple, or limited, values to local communities.

References

Friederici, N. (2018) Grounding the dream of African Innovation Hubs: two cases in Kigali. Journal of Developmental Entrepreneurship, 23(2) https://doi.org/10.1142/S1084946718500127

GIZ (2013) From Silicon Valley to Silicon Savannah, GIZ, Bonn https://10innovations.alumniportal.com/technology-hubs/from-silicon-valley-to-silicon-savannah.html

Giuliani, D. (2018) 1000 tech hubs are powering ecosystems in Asia Pacific and Africa, Mobile for Development (GSMA), 20 Mar https://www.gsma.com/mobilefordevelopment/programme/ecosystem-accelerator/1000-tech-hubs-are-powering-ecosystems-in-asia-pacific-and-africa/

Haikin, M. (2018) Voices of the Silicon Savannah: Key Challenges facing Kenya’s Social-Tech Ecosystem – Views from Within. https://matthaikin.com/2018/10/08/voices-of-the-silicon-savannah-released/

Jimenez, A. & Zheng, Y. (2017) A spatial perspective of innovation and development: innovation hubs in Zambia and the UK. In P. J. Choudrie J., Islam M., Wahid F., Bass J., ed. Information and Communication Technologies for Development. ICT4D 2017. Springer, 12-14.

Jimenez, C. & Zheng, Y. (2016) A capabilities approach to innovation: a case study of a technology and innovation hub in Zambia, paper presented at Twenty-Fourth European Conference on Information Systems (ECIS), Istanbul, 12-15 Jun.

Littlewood, D.C. & Kiyumbu, W.L. (2018) “Hub” organisations in Kenya: What are they? What do they do? And what is their potential?, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 131, 276–285. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162517313173

Sanderson, O. (2015) On Hubs, BRCKs, and Boxes:The Emergence of Kenya’s Innovation and Technology Ecosystem, Tufts University, Medford, MA. https://dl.tufts.edu/catalog/tufts:sd.0000269

Sambuli, N. & Whitt, J.P. (2017) Technology Innovation Hubs and Policy Engagement, Making All Voices Count Research Report, IDS, Brighton, UK https://www.makingallvoicescount.org/publication/technology-innovation-hubs-policy-engagement/

Tintiangko, J.T. &  & Soriano, C.R.R. (2018) Coworking spaces in the global South: local articulations and imaginaries, paper presented at 68th Annual International Communication Association Conference, Prague, 24-28 May

Digital Economy

Challenges and Opportunities of the Digital Economy in Indonesia

This article was originally published in Medium.

Indonesia aims to become the biggest digital economy nation in ASEAN by aiming to reach 130 million US$ of e-commerce transaction in 2020. This may sound ambitious, but the fact that a majority of Indonesians are digitally oriented makes the government strongly believe that the target can be achieved. The latest data from Asosiasi Penyedia Jasa Internet Indonesia (APJII) and We Are Social revealed that there are 143,26 million internet users in Indonesia in 2017, and a majority of them use mobile devices to access the internet. Moreover, the total number of mobile connection has exceeded the Indonesian populations, with each citizen have approximately 2 to 3 SIM cards.

What are the underlying factors that drive this enormous growth? I would argue that there are at least four factors:

  1. Technological advancement particularly in the telecommunication sector. Initially, we can only use a mobile phone for voice call and SMS. These days, both services are not popular anymore as people prefer to use instant messaging and Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP). This also applies for the handset that we use today, as it becomes smarter and capable of doing a wide range of tasks compared to a classical feature phone.
  2. Increase coverage of a mobile network. There is a fierce competition among operators to become the best in the country through massive infrastructure deployment. As a result, more and more people now have an access to the internet.
  3. Price of ICT is getting cheaper. There is a price war between each operator by lowering the price of internet services in order to maximize network utilization. Also, we can easily find a high-quality smartphone with an affordable price. As a result, telecommunication is not a luxury good anymore.
  4. Social media and instant messaging as “killer apps”. The introduction of Blackberry Messenger (BBM), Facebook and Twitter in Indonesia played a key role in boosting data penetration in the country.

Despite the growing trends of digital in Indonesia, we still face a significant challenge in narrowing the digital divide. Around 77 per cent of internet users are centred in Java and Sumatra, and less than half of citizens in eastern part of the country do not have access to the internet. As a result, Indonesia still lags behind our neighbour countries like Thailand and Malaysia when it comes to global indexes such as Networked Readiness Index (NRI) or GSMA Mobile Connectivity Index.

The digital divide in Indonesia (Source: Open Signal)

The development impact of the digital economy

The aforementioned infrastructure challenges apparently do not hamper the promising growth of the digital economy in Indonesia. At the time of writing, Indonesia has nearly 2,000 start-ups and only behind USA, India, UK and Canada. Interestingly, the majority of those start-ups are led by “millennials” that are passionate to create social impact by harnessing the power of digital technologies. This can be seen from how Nadiem Makarim is successfully growing Go-Jek to empower not only “ojek” drivers but also SMEs and consumers. Go-Pay, mobile wallet system developed by Go-Jek, even contributes in promoting financial inclusion in Indonesia. Another example is evident from how William Tanuwijaya initiates Tokopedia as a platform to enables everyone in starting their own business for free. Both Go-Jek and Tokopedia, together with Traveloka and Bukalapak, are known as start-up unicorn in Indonesia.

So, how does the digital economy contribute to economic growth?

Admittedly, the contribution of the ICT sector to GDP in Indonesia is still not significant with only 7.2 per cent. However, the GDP growth from this sector is the highest compared to other sectors with 10 per cent of GDP growth. In fact, this number is much higher than average GDP growth of Indonesia that only reached 5 per cent.

In other report published by Oxford Economics (2016) revealed that by 2020 every one per cent increase in mobile penetration can contribute in creating additional 640 million US$ to Indonesia’s GDP as well as opening up 10,700 additional job opportunities. Hence, it is no surprise that the government has put significant attention to the digital economy sector.

Speaking of the digital economy, there are at least three emerging trends that are currently happening: on-demand services, financial technology, and e-commerce.

  1. On-demand services. It is impossible to talk about this sector without mentioning Go-Jek, one of the most influential tech start-up in Indonesia. They not only managed to revolutionalize “ojek”, but they also successfully influence behavioural change in our society. Essentially, they facilitate almost everything on-demand, from logistics, food delivery, car wash, and even beauty services. They are now in the process of preparing their own streaming service, which could cement Go-Jek’s position in providing anything that Indonesians need.
  2. Financial technology. There is a clear challenge in bringing financial services to everyone in Indonesia. Only about one in three adults in Indonesia have access to financial services. In this regard, Financial Technology (Fintech) played an important role not only as an enabler for the digital economy but also promoting financial inclusion through technology. This is evident particularly within the case of a peer-to-peer lending platform that enables small business to get access to financial capital. Another example is how the mobile payment serves as a mean to promote a cashless society in Indonesia.
  3. E-commerce. More than 8 million Indonesians loved to shop online, and the numbers are expected to increase in the near future. This is driven by both consumptive and online behaviour of Indonesians as well as the increasing market reach thanks to social media and technology. As a result, many stores are now trying to sell their products through both online and offline channel. People can now buy almost anything easily through their smartphone without having to go to the actual stores, and we can receive our products within hours with the help of instant courier. In the future, we can expect further innovation such as an unmanned store that will transform the way we shop.

Conclusion

Indonesia has a great potential to become the biggest digital economy nation in ASEAN, even in the world. But, achieving this target requires various stakeholders involved to overcome the following challenges:

  1. Narrowing the digital divide. Infrastructure is an important enabler in maximizing the benefit of the digital economy, so the government must ensure that everyone can have an equal access to technology. Palapa Ring project is a great starting point, and the quality of our infrastructure will surely get better by the time the project is finished in 2019. But the infrastructure deployment cannot stop there and should focus on providing access to rural areas in Indonesia.
  2. Digital talent. There is still a mismatch between the supply of university graduates and the demand from tech start-up. This leads to talent war, in which many start-ups have to compete in securing high-quality talents that are lacking in the market. Hence, a collaboration between industry and academia is important to ensure the production of high-quality digital talent that meets the needs of the digital industry.
  3. Regulations. It is no secret that regulations are always behind technological advancement, as can we see from the case of Go-Jek and Grab. What we need is a guiding principle in designing regulations for those emerging technology. It should be designed in such a way that it will not hamper creativity and innovation in tackling societal challenges. Several cybersecurity issues should be taken into account, particularly about consumer protection of personal data.
Digital Economy

Policy to Support Digital Trade & the Digital Economy

This post is written by Christopher Foster and Shamel Azmeh (University of Manchester). It was originally posted on the GEG Africa blog

The global economy is experiencing important technological shifts with the rise of digital technology a key driver. These changes are likely to intensify in the coming years with new technologies that are emerging such as artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and autonomous vehicles.

For developing and emerging economies, the digital economy provides an opportunity to achieve economic and technological catching-up through using digital technologies and building capacities. But, technological shifts may also widen the technological divide with advanced economies weakening the position of developing economies in global value chains and making ongoing catching-up efforts ineffective.

To explore these issues further, we have recently be undertaking research which aims to offer direction in terms of constructing overall policy strategy in developing and emerging economies, in partnership with the Global Economic Governance Africa project, focussing on South Africa.

Policy models for digital

Drawing on our analysis of digital policy, we highlight two important directions that countries have taken around digital policies. This model extends a previous working papers by Bukht & Heeks produced as part of the DIODE project.

Broader liberal strategies for enabling markets for digital trade highlight the importance of developing the national regulation and conditions to maximise diffusion and impacts of digital products and services into the country. This includes, for instance, creating conditions to attract foreign digital firms and ensuring that benefits are evenly distributed by increasing the digital participation of marginalised groups.

On their own, however, market enabling policies might not necessarily produce the desired economic objectives in terms of technology learning and localization. As such, we also consider a more selective approach which we refer to as digital catch-up policy. This second approach is more interventionist and strategic in nature and it requires higher political capital and knowledge in the policy-making process.

As shown below, the two directions are not mutually exclusive and potentially can be complementary.

framework2
Key approaches to digital policy (include specific areas of policy instrument).

The cases of Brazil and Indonesia

To expand and think about implications of such a policy model, we undertook two case studies of Brazil and Indonesia. These studies provide insights for how policy makers can regulate and deal with the challenges of the emerging digital economy.

Overall, directions of digital policy in these two countries have lots in common. Both countries already have core digital regulation and infrastructure in place and policy makers are working to refine policy to ensure that it fits with the rapidly evolving needs of the digital economy and digitalisation.

Moving beyond solely market enabling policies, we see that both countries focus on a number of strategic areas through interventionist policies. Not all of these initiatives have been effective and some carry costs, but in certain areas they have been associated with more vibrant local sectors that are helping build capacities and increase local economic value-added.

The two tables below expand on our findings, highlighting the broad range of instruments being used in the areas of the policy model (click for more details)

Implications for policy makers

South Africa  (and other emerging and developing countries) faces similar challenges in trying to bridge the technological and industrial gap with more advanced economies in a rapidly changing landscape.  At the same time there is a need to ensure that digital policy is inclusive to achieve broader societal outcomes.

A number of policy lessons can be learnt for South Africa from the cases of Brazil and Indonesia. Policies to enable growth in digital trade are important to provide the framework for the expansion of the digital economy. Underlying this, there must be substantive investments in broadband infrastructure and appropriate regulation. An emphasis on inclusion policies will lead to more broad-based benefits from the digital economy.

To support local firms, digital ecosystem policy is a crucial consideration in grounding the benefits of the digital economy. This includes policies to support the growth and scaling-up of start-ups, and the higher participation of MSMEs in digital trade. Furthermore, encouraging global digital firms to localize some of their activities and to build domestic linkages is an important policy objective. As the ‘disbenefits’ of the digital economy become clear, policy makers need to legislate to reduce challenges in areas such as tax, data protection and the platform economy. Reflecting the importance of scale, regional integration is crucial in terms of digital policy. Broader markets, interoperability and national-regional strategic alignments are key to expanding markets, attracting foreign firms, and potentially increasing their commitment to a region.

Digital catch-up policy provides an important direction for supporting digital growth. Our work reveals a broad range of potential catch-up policy instruments in the digital economy (e.g localisation, incentives, and national digital projects). Future examination should explore the specific catch-up policies that could be fruitful in the case of South Africa.

For further information, see two recent GEG policy papers which expand on these issues:

Policy model – Azmeh, S. & Foster, C. (2018) Bridging the Digital Divide And Supporting Increased Digital Trade: Scoping Study, Discussion Paper, GEG Africa, Pretoria, South Africa.
Discussion paper | Policy brief

Case studies of Brazil and Indonesia – Azmeh, S. & Foster, C. (2018) Bridging the Digital Divide And Supporting Increased Digital Trade: Country Case Studies, Discussion Paper, GEG Africa, Pretoria, South Africa.
Discussion paper | Policy brief